IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE - PLEASE READ
TrendMonster is educational software, NOT investment advice. We are NOT registered investment advisers. ALL PERFORMANCE DATA IS HYPOTHETICAL BACKTESTED RESULTS, NOT ACTUAL TRADING. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. YOU MAY LOSE MONEY. All investment decisions are made solely by you.
The $1,000,000 Trading Experiment:
Can a System Beat the Market?
We aren't just selling a system. We are testing it.
Watch our founder trade his own capital live, using a methodology designed by a former Market Maker.
MANDATORY DISCLOSURE
The "TrendMonster" portfolio is a personal account of the founder (Felix). This is not an investment fund. We are not soliciting capital. We are documenting a personal trading experiment for educational purposes. The founder's results may not be typical. Trading involves the risk of total loss.
Most Trading Educators Hide Their Results.
We Are Showing Ours.
The trading industry is full of "gurus" who sell courses but never risk their own money. We are doing something different.
The Reality
We have built a systematic framework based on 15 years of market mechanics. Now, we are putting it to the ultimate test: Real Money in Real Time.
The Transparency
You'll see every signal, every trade, every result. The wins, the losses, and the discipline required to stick to the rules. No cherry-picking. No hiding.
The Team
Elliott
The Architect
A former Professional Market Maker who designed the logic based on institutional volatility and trend principles.
Felix
The Trader
The founder who has allocated a significant 7-figure account to follow Elliott's signals live.
The Mission: To document the reality of systematic trading—the wins, the losses, and the discipline required to stick to the rules.
The Strategy We Are Testing
We aren't guessing. We are following a strict set of rules derived from historical market data. The TrendMonster system is designed to answer one question:
Can we capture the upside of a bull market while avoiding the catastrophic drawdowns of a bear market?
Trend Filters
Identifying the dominant market direction to stay on the right side of the flow.
Volatility Regimes
Using VIX term structure to assess market stress before it becomes a crash.
Capital Preservation
Moving to cash or hedging during high-stress periods to protect the portfolio.
Phase 1: Theoretical Modeling (2010-2025)
Before risking capital, we ran a stress test of the algorithm against historical data. The goal was not to maximize profit, but to see if the logic could identify major market crashes.
Market Benchmark: S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 is the baseline against which most strategies are measured. Here are the historical facts for the 15-year period (2010-2025):
Historical Growth: $55,750 → $236,133
Assumes $10,000 initial investment in February 2010, reinvested dividends
Worst Single-Day Loss
-12.0%
March 16, 2020
Maximum Drawdown
-33.5%
2020 COVID Crash
Bear Market Duration
282 Days
2022 Bear Market
HYPOTHETICAL
The Model's Theoretical Behavior
We tested whether the algorithm's logic could detect high-stress market conditions before major crashes occurred. These are the simulation outputs:
Theoretical Growth: $55,750 → $1,867,279
HYPOTHETICAL
⚠️ SIMULATION ONLY - Perfect hindsight, zero slippage, no emotional errors
2020 COVID Crash
The model logic signaled "Red/Cash" on February 26, 2020 — 6 trading days before the S&P 500's worst single-day loss (-12.0% on March 16).
Theoretical Result: Model avoided -33.5% maximum drawdown by moving to cash before the crash accelerated.
2022 Bear Market
The model logic signaled "Red/Cash" for 18 consecutive weeks starting January 2022 as the Fed began aggressive rate hikes.
Theoretical Result: Model reduced exposure during the 282-day bear market that resulted in -25% SPY decline.
Late 2021 Overextension
The model logic signaled "Orange/Caution" in November 2021 as volatility term structure inverted — 2 months before the bear market began.
Theoretical Result: Model reduced leverage exposure ahead of the downturn.
CRITICAL: These Results Are Hypothetical
The data above represents a computer simulation using perfect hindsight. It does not represent actual trading and does not account for:
- Slippage or execution delays
- Emotional decision-making errors
- Market conditions that differ from the past
- Black swan events not present in historical data
Why we are running the Live Experiment: Because simulations are often wrong. Real trading is harder.
Do not expect to replicate these hypothetical results. The model may fail to detect future crashes. Most traders lose money.
What You Get As A Member
You are getting a front-row seat to a professional-grade trading experiment.
The Dashboard
Access the exact same Green/Orange/Red market regime indicators that Felix is watching.
The Trade Log
See when the model portfolio enters and exits positions. Real-time transparency.
The "Post-Game" Analysis
Monthly webinars reviewing the portfolio's performance. We will discuss what went right, and we will be brutally honest about what went wrong.
Important: Read Before Joining
Not a Signal Service
TrendMonster is an educational platform. The "signals" you see are the output of our model. You are responsible for your own trading decisions.
No "Copy Trading"
Felix's risk tolerance, tax situation, and financial goals are unique to him. His trades are for demonstration purposes only. Blindly copying trades can lead to significant losses, especially if you have a smaller account or different risk tolerance.
Leveraged ETF Risk (TQQQ)
The strategy may use leveraged ETFs (like TQQQ). These instruments are highly volatile and can result in rapid losses. Historical drawdowns have exceeded 80% during market crashes.
⚠️ Leveraged ETFs are designed for daily trading, not long-term holding.
You can lose money even if the underlying market goes up due to volatility decay and daily rebalancing.
No Guarantees
Past performance (especially hypothetical performance) is not indicative of future results. The backtest data shown represents perfect hindsight conditions that cannot be replicated in real trading.
TrendMonster is a program of Skillset Solutions FZ LLC.
Not an Investment Adviser. Not a Broker-Dealer.
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about TrendMonster